Has Bitcoin's drop reached its floor?
A considerable degree of demand appears to have been built at the $20,000 level for Bitcoin after the drop last month, creating a floor.
Assessment of the Bitcoin drop
Analysts cited sideways growth in transactional demand, active Bitcoin drop addresses continuing in "a clearly defined downward trend”, and decreased network fees as reasons to dampen investors' enthusiasm about the 15% increase in BTC price over the last week.
According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin has been down 2% in the previous 24 hours, trading below $23,000 to $22,899.
The features of a bear market seem prevalent, such as a decrease in on-chain activity and a shift away from speculative investors and toward long-term holders.
According to Glassnode, a drop in network activity might indicate a lack of fresh demand from speculative traders over long-term holders and investors who strongly believe in the network's technology.
The present network demand pattern and the one developed in the 2018-2019 period were comparable, according to the research. Like the last cycle, network demand dwindled following the all-time high in BTC price in April 2021. Demand increased noticeably in the months running up to the following November when prices reached a new high.
However, demand has been declining since last November, leading to a bitcoin drop, with a significant dip during the mass sell-off in May:
Network costs have entered "bear market territory" due to a lack of demand from anybody other than hardcore Bitcoin fans. Daily network fees hit 200 BTC when prices reached an all-time high last April. Over the last week, daily fees totaled only 13.4 BTC.
If fee rates climb significantly, demand is increasing, which will assist in supporting future "positive structural shifts" in Bitcoin network activity:
Optimism amid the Bitcoin drop
On a brighter note, capacity in Bitcoin Lightning Network (LN) public channels continues to reach new all-time highs. Despite the current weak market, total LN public capacity has reached 4,405 BTC, a 19% growth over the previous two months.
Author: Emmanuel Baiden
7 years experience within the financial services sector most notably in Sales, Trading, research and writing articles within the crypto space. I have a bachelor's degree in International Business and a Master's in Investment and Risk Finance . I am also an associate member of the Chartered Institute for Securities and Investment.